FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2005 p.45

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  NIGERIA

Aggregate cereal production in 2004 has been recently revised downward by national statistics services to about 16.27 million tonnes, a decrease of about 23 percent compared to 2003. Millet production is estimated to have decreased by 33 percent, while output of sorghum dropped by 36 percent, reflecting the impact of the dry spells that affected the northern part of the country (major sorghum and millet producing region) last year. In spite of increased imports of rice and wheat, per caput cereal consumption is estimated to have decreased significantly in 2005 reflecting the limited tradability of millet and sorghum, their low availability in neighbouring countries and the subsequent unusually high cereal prices observed across the region this year.

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2005 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
 WheatRiceCoarse GrainsTotal Cereals
 [thousand tonnes]
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)613 53117 72421 316
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)733 21018 12421 407
Previous year imports2 6041 450804 134
Previous five years average imports2 2871 458983 843
2005 Domestic Availability702 18714 42616 683
2004 Production (incl. paddy rice)702 47913 72616 275
2004 Production (incl. milled rice)701 48713 72615 283
Possible stock drawdown-7007001 400
2005 Utilization3 0703 48714 49621 053
Food use2 9783 19011 08717 254
Non-food use922973 2993 689
Exports or re-exports--110110
Possible stock build up----
2005 Import Requirement3 0001 300704 370
Anticipated commercial imports3 0001 300704 370
of which: received or contracted2 903784693 756
Food aid needs----
Current Aid Position    
Food aid pledges----
of which: delivered----
Donor-financed purchases----
of which: for local use----
for export----
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)242689138
Indexes[percentage]
2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)96777676
2005 Import requirement compared to average1318971114
Cereal share of total calorie intake   46
Additional Information    
Major foodcropsroots; tubers; coarse grains; rice
Lean seasonApril-May
Population (000s)125 244   
GNI per capita in 2004 (US$)390   

FAO/GIEWS - December 2005

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