World Food Situation

FAO Food Price Index

The FAO Food Price Index is a measure of the monthly change in international prices of a basket of food commodities. It consists of the average of five commodity group price indices, weighted with the average export shares of each of the groups for 2002-2004. For more detailed information (in all languages) please see the special feature article of the November 2013 issue of the Food Outlook. An expanded version of the article, which contains more technical background is available in English only.

Monthly release dates for 2020: 9 January, 6 February, 5 March, 2 April, 7 May, 4 June, 2 July, 6 August, 3 September, 8 October, 5 November, 3 December.

In April the FAO Food Price Index fell for the third consecutive month

Release date: 07/05/2020

» The FAO Food Price Index* (FFPI) averaged 165.5 points in April 2020, down 5.7 points (3.4 percent) from March and the lowest since January 2019.  The April decline marked the third consecutive monthly fall in the value of the Index; largely attributed to several negative impacts on international food markets arising from the COVID-19 pandemic. Except the cereal sub-index, which declined only slightly, all the other sub-indices of the overall Index registered significant month-on-month declines in April, in particular the sugar sub-index.

» The FAO Cereal Price Index averaged nearly 164.0 points in April, down marginally from March but still up almost 4.0 points (2.4 percent) from April 2019. Among major cereals, international prices of wheat and rice rose significantly in April, but a sharp drop in maize quotations kept the overall value of the FAO Cereal Price Index close to its level in the previous month. Wheat prices averaged 2.5 percent higher month-on-month, reflecting strong international demand amid reports of a quick fulfillment of the export quota from the Russian Federation, which was implemented in late March and is not expected to be adjustable until the end of the current marketing season on 30 June. The imposition of temporary export restrictions and logistical bottlenecks in some suppliers fueled a 7.2 percent monthly increase in international rice prices, although increases were capped by the easing and eventual repeal of export limits, namely in Viet Nam, towards the end of the month. By contrast, international maize prices registered a third consecutive month of decline, pushing down the overall value of the coarse grains index by 10 percent from the previous month. Already large export availabilities, supplemented by newly harvested crops in South America, amid weaker demand for animal feed and fuel ethanol, continued to put strong downward pressure on maize prices.

» The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 131.8 points in April, shedding 7.2 points (or 5.2 percent) from last month and hitting its lowest level since August 2019. The third consecutive monthly decrease in the index mainly reflects falling palm, soy and rapeseed oil values, whereas sunflower oil prices strengthened. The continued decline in palm oil prices was driven by the plunge in international crude oil quotations and sluggish global demand for palm oil in both the food and energy sectors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Higher than expected palm oil output in Malaysia added to the downward pressure on prices. Weakening demand also pushed down soy and rapeseed oil prices, with soyoil values also affected by higher than anticipated crushings in the United States. By contrast, international sunflower oil prices rebounded in April, underpinned by firm import demand amid concerns over tightening exportable supplies.

» The FAO Dairy Price Index averaged 196.2 points in April, down 7.3 points (3.6 percent) from March, registering the second consecutive month of decline and now down 18.8 points (8.8 percent) from its value in the corresponding month last year. Quotations for butter, skim milk powder (SMP) and whole milk powder (WMP) fell by over 10 percent in April, reflecting increased export availabilities and mounting inventories amid weak import demand. With milk production in the northern hemisphere normally rising at this time of the year, diminished restaurant sales and reduced demand from food manufacturers also weighed on prices. By contrast, price quotations for cheese rebounded moderately on account of limited spot supplies from Oceania, where production is seasonally declining.

» The FAO Meat Price Index* averaged 168.8 points in April, down 4.7 points (2.7 percent) from March, registering the fourth consecutive monthly decline. In April, international quotations for all meat types represented in the index fell, as a partial recovery in import demand, mainly in China, was insufficient to balance a slump in imports from other countries, caused by continued COVID-19 related economic hardship, logistical bottlenecks and a steep fall in demand from the food services sector due to lockdowns. Notwithstanding reduced levels of meat processing as labour shortages mounted, plummetting restaurant sales led to increased stock build up and export availabilities, also weighing on meat price quotations.

» The FAO Sugar Price Index averaged 144.points in April, down 24.7 points (14.6 percent) from March, marking the second consecutive monthly decrease. This latest drop was mostly on the back of a collapse in international crude oil prices. Falling energy prices means that sugar mills divert more sugarcane for the production of sugar instead of ethanol, a substitute for gasoline, hence expanding sugar export availabilities. In addition, a contraction in sugar demand arising from the confinement measures imposed in a number of countries to contain the spread of COVID-19 spawned additional downward pressure on world sugar prices.

* Unlike for other commodity groups, most prices utilized in the calculation of the FAO Meat Price Index are not available when the FAO Food Price Index is computed and published; therefore, the value of the Meat Price Index for the most recent months is derived from a mixture of projected and observed prices. This can, at times, require significant revisions in the final value of the FAO Meat Price Index which could in turn influence the value of the FAO Food Price Index.

 

 

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