Released in May 2020, under the European Union (EU) Green Deal, the Farm to Fork (F2F) and Biodiversity Strategies involve the EU’s vision to stimulate a transition toward sustainable food systems. In a broad approach, the EU Commission proposes policy targets to 2030 and policy measures for promoting sustainability in four areas: sustainable food production, sustainable food consumption, sustainable food processing and distribution, and reduced food loss and waste. The Farm to Fork and Biodiversity Strategies constitute a significant shift in the EU agricultural and food sector and are currently a topic of debate.

This study presents the key results of research that analyzed the implications of agroecological transition across Europe, following the Ten Years For Agroecology (TYFA) scenario. While this scenario was published three years ago, what it proposes by 2050 is fully aligned with the objectives that the strategies aim to achieve by 2030, in particular regarding the decrease in pesticides, nitrogen, and antibiotics on the supply side, and the transition towards more plant-based diets on the demand side. Using a world biomass balance model (GlobAgri-AgT), the impact of the TYFA scenario in the EU on world land use, the EU physical trade balance, the provision of calories, and global food security was analyzed in addition to key policy levers to spur the transition.