Sustainable Forest Management (SFM) Toolbox

التكيف مع تغير المناخ والتخفيف من آثاره

Central Asia, Nepal - Landslides, soil erosion and flooding of the roads near Sandhikharka  ©FAO/Chris Steele-Perkins/Magnum Ph

تهدف وحدة "التكيف مع تغير المناخ والتخفيف من آثاره" إلى مساعدة مديري الغابات على تقييم التحديات والفرص المرتبطة بتغير المناخ والاستجابة لها. وتقدم معلومات أساسية وأخرى أكثر تفصيلًا حول قضايا رئيسة تستلزم أخذها بعين الاعتبار عند تقييم سرعة التأثر بتغير المناخ ومخاطره وخيارات التكيف معه والتخفيف من آثاره. وتقدم هذه الوحدة روابط لأدوات مهمة وأمثلة حول تطبيق هذه الأدوات في ميدان الحراجة بهدف التكيف مع تغير المناخ والتخفيف من آثاره.

Basic knowledge

The effects of climate change and climate variability on forest ecosystems are evident around the world and further impacts are unavoidable, at least in the short to medium term. The potential impacts vary across regions, with some forest types more vulnerable than others; they include both increased and decreased plant growth, an increased frequency and intensity of fire and disease, and an increase in the severity of extreme weather events such as droughts, rainstorms and wind. In some cases, climate change is impairing the ability of forests to deliver critical wood and non-wood products and environmental services, such as watershed protection, to the detriment of the livelihoods of forest dwellers, forest-dependent communities and others who benefit from forests.

Meeting the challenges posed by climate change requires adjustments to forest strategies and to forest management plans and practices. Delays in taking action will increase the cost and difficulty of making those adjustments.

Adaptation and mitigation in forestry

Adaptation and mitigation are the two main responses to climate change. They are two sides of the same coin: mitigation addresses the causes of climate change and adaptation addresses its impacts.

In the forest sector, adaptation encompasses changes in management practices designed to decrease the vulnerability of forests to climate change and interventions intended to reduce the vulnerability of people to climate change.

Mitigation strategies in the forest sector can be grouped into four main categories: reducing emissions from deforestation; reducing emissions from forest degradation; enhancing forest carbon sinks; and product substitution. Substitution comprises the use of wood instead of fossil fuels for energy and the use of wood fibre in place of materials such as cement, steel and aluminium, the production of which involve the emission of large quantities of greenhouse gases.

Climate-change mitigation measures, including in forests, are urgently needed to help reduce human-induced interference with the climate system, but such measures will only begin to have an effect on global mean surface temperatures decades from now. For this reason, adaptation measures in forests to secure the continued delivery of forest goods and environmental services will be required for many years to come.

Climate change and SFM

As climatic conditions move beyond historical ranges, climate-change adaptation and mitigation will require the adjustment of management objectives, approaches and monitoring systems. Fortunately, SFM is consistent with both adaptation and mitigation and provides a comprehensive framework that can be adapted to changing circumstances. Forest managers will need to factor climate change into their planning and to adjust their management practices accordingly to reduce vulnerability and to facilitate adaptation to climate change.

Forest managers will also need to put greater emphasis on risk management and to weigh the costs of changes in forest management against the likely benefits, keeping in mind that the costs of climate-change adaptation measures are likely to increase the longer they are delayed. Forest managers should aim to optimize the potential benefits of climate change by taking advantage of policy incentives and financial support mechanisms for climate-change adaptation and mitigation.

Climate change poses crucial challenges but may also create new opportunities for the forest sector. Forest managers (and other stakeholders) will need to take these into consideration. They will also need to consider responses to climate change in the context of the multiple goods and environmental services that forests provide to meet the diverse needs of a wide range of stakeholders.

In more depth

Predicted impacts of climate change on forests

Forests are highly sensitive to climate change. In particular:

  • Sustained increases of as little as 1°C in mean annual air temperature can be sufficient to cause changes in the growth and regeneration capacity of many tree species. In several regions, this can significantly alter the function and composition of forests; in others, it can cause forest cover to disappear completely.
  • Suitable habitats for many species or forest types are likely to shift faster with climate change than the maximum natural rate at which many species can migrate and establish. Consequently, slow-growing species, such as late-successional species, or those with restricted seed dispersal, will be replaced by faster-growing, highly adaptable or more mobile species.
    Forests are particularly vulnerable to extremes of water availability (either drought or waterlogging) and will decline rapidly if conditions move toward either of the extremes.
  • A substantial fraction of existing forests will experience climatic conditions in which they do not currently exist; eventually, shifts in vegetation type will need to occur. It is projected that 33 percent of the currently forested area could be affected by such changes, and one model projects that up to 65 percent of forests in the boreal zone will be affected.
  • Although net primary productivity may increase in some areas (due to elevated concentrations of carbon dioxide and, in some regions, increased moisture availability), this may not lead to a consequent increase in forest biomass because of more frequent outbreaks and extended ranges of pests and an increasing frequency and intensity of fires.
  • Mature forests are a large store of terrestrial carbon. Because the maximum rate at which carbon can be lost is greater than the rate at which it can be gained, large amounts of carbon may be released transiently into the atmosphere as forests change in response to changing climatic conditions and before new forests replace the former vegetation. The loss of aboveground carbon alone has been estimated at 0.1–3.4 Gt per year, or a total of 10–240 Gt.

Resources

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