Philippines
To carry out the AMICAF project in the Philippines, FAO partnered with the 
Department of Agriculture, and other government agencies and academic institutions. All four components of the AMICAF approach were implemented. Components 1 and 4 were linked with FAO's Asian Regional Rice Initiative pilot project.
AMICAF went into operation in the Philippines in early 2012. All of the activities were completed in March 2015. Partner agencies are expected to be involved in the AMICAF- 2nd phase of activities in Indonesia through South-South Cooperation.
Key findings
The AMICAF Project evaluated the impact of climate change on rice (irrigated and rainfed) and 14 basins (3 GCMs and 3CC Scenarios) in the Philippines and analysed the vulnerability factors of food security in rural households up until 2050:
Seasonal rainfall will increase in the Philippines. Warming or increase in mean temperature is projected for all seasons. Extreme events are likely to increase in the period 2011-2040 (Component 1: Climate down scaling). - Overall, there will be a positive net change in the yields from irrigated and rainfed rice (Component 1: Crop model).
- There will be an expected decrease in the yield of white corn (Jul-Dec) (Component 1: Crop model).
- Regarding the discharge from basins in Luzon, an overall increase in baseflow and variability was found. In some areas of Mindanao and Eastern Philippines a decrease was found (Component 1: Hydro model).
- A general increase in variability due to higher peak flows was found for all seasons across GCMs and scenarios (Component 1: Hydro model).
- The increase in maximum temperature decreases income from farming and gardening (Component 2: Vulnerability analysis by CBMS).
- An extreme increase in rainfall decreases income (Component 2: Vulnerability analysis by CBMS).
- No significant linear relationship was found between caloric intake and climate shocks (Component 2: Vulnerability analysis by FNRI).
Agroecosystem analysis by cooperative farmers in the Philippines
