The quarterly Early Warning Early Action report on food security and agriculture monitors situations at risk for potential disasters and adverse impacts on food security and agriculture. Risks are categorized according to their potential consequence as either “high risk” or “on watch” so that preventive action can be taken. The Report provides consolidated, easy to read, country-by-country mapping and analysis of crisis situations such as conflict, drought, flood, plants and animals pests and diseases.

In the July to September 2018 edition, the following countries and risks are included:

• HIGH RISK: Yemen (Assault on Al Hudaydah port likely to exacerbate existing food insecurity and may halt life-saving assistance), Democratic Republic of Congo (Intensification of conflict in eastern regions and Ebola Virus Disease outbreak further compound an already dire humanitarian crisis), South Sudan (Conflict-affected areas to record worsening food security outcomes despite some localized seasonal gains), Bangladesh and Myanmar (Ongoing monsoon season continues to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh and spikes of violence drive new displacements in Myanmar), Central African republic (Upsurge of violence affecting food security and delivery of assistance to affected populations), Sahel (Projected deteriorating food security due to the pastoral crisis, upcoming lean season and localized conflict), Afghanistan (Prolonged drought conditions threaten the output of the upcoming cereal harvest), Syria (Possible takeover of Idlib to result in worsening food security, and next planting season in the northeast at risk due to poor rainfall)

• ON WATCH: Venezuela (Deteriorating food insecurity continuing to fuel large-scale emigration), Africa fall armyworm (Risk of further spread to West Africa, Egypt, Libya and Yemen), Nigeria (northeast) (Conflict resulting in further displacement and deterioration of food security), Sudan (Economic reforms continue to drive a rise in food prices and food security set to deteriorate), Horn of Africa (Risk of Rift Valley fever outbreak, and localized food production deficits due to floods), Cameroon (Insecurity in Far North region threatens the performance of the upcoming 2018 cropping season), Southen Africa region (Localized production shortfalls affecting vulnerable households), El Niño (Probability of an El Niño event in late 2018–early 2019, potentially impacting agriculture and food security)