Countries with unfavourable crop production prospects are countries where current conditions indicate a high likelihood that cereal production would fall below the five-year average, as a result of a reduction of the area planted and/or yields due to adverse weather conditions, plant pests and diseases, conflicts and other negative factors. This list does not include countries where production declines are mainly driven by deliberate/predetermined economic and/or policy decisions. GIEWS updates this list three times a year (four times before 2023).