GIEWS-Early Warning Indicator-Cereal Supply/Demand Balances for Sub-Saharan Africa

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	Cereal Supply/Demand Balances for Sub-Saharan Africa	March 2008

PDF Version

	Terminology
	Angola
	Benin
	Botswana
	Burkina Faso
	Burundi
	Cameroon
	Cape Verde
	Central African Republic
	Chad
	Comoros
	Congo, Democratic Republic of
	Congo, Republic of
	Côte d’Ivoire
	Djibouti
	Equatorial Guinea
	Eritrea
	Ethiopia
	Gabon
	Gambia, Republic of
	Ghana
	Guinea
	Guinea-Bissau
	Kenya
	Lesotho
	Liberia
	Madagascar
	Malawi
	Mali
	Mauritania
	Mauritius
	Mozambique
	Namibia
	Niger
	Nigeria
	Rwanda
	Sao Tome and Principe
	Senegal
	Seychelles
	Sierra Leone
	Somalia
	South Africa
	Sudan
	Swaziland
	Tanzania, United Republic of
	Togo
	Uganda
	Zambia
	Zimbabwe


Angola

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2007/08 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse grains	Total cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	4	9	671	684
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	4	16	686	706
Previous year imports	388	209	73	670
Previous five years average imports	420	168	171	759
2007/08 domestic availability	24	10	844	878
2007 production (incl. paddy rice)	4	15	844	863
2007 production (incl. milled rice)	4	10	844	858
Possible stock drawdown	20	-	-	20
2007/08 utilization	449	215	913	1 577
Food use	445	207	772	1 424
Non-food use	4	3	136	143
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	-	5	5	10
2007/08 import requirement	425	205	68	698
Anticipated commercial imports	425	200	50	675
of which: received or contracted	330	143	-	474
Food aid needs	-	5	18	23
Current aid position
Food aid pledges	-	3	3	6
of which: delivered	-	3	3	6
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year)	27	13	47	87

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	100	94	123	122
2007/08 import requirement compared to average	101	122	40	92
Cereal share of total calorie intake				32

Additional information
Major foodcrops	roots; tubers; maize; plantains
Lean season	January-April
Population (000s)	16 338
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	1 980


Benin

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse grains	Total cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	80	1 015	1 095
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	70	992	1 062
Previous year imports	46	156	2	204¹
Previous five years average imports	52	144	2	198
2008 domestic availability	1	55	1 139	1 194
2007 production (incl. paddy rice)	-	91	1 116	1 207
2007 production (incl. milled rice)	-	55	1 116	1 171
Possible stock drawdown	1	-	23	23
2008 utilization	37	215	1 141	1 392
Food use	35	106	712	852
Non-food use	1	9	274	284
Exports or re-exports	1	100	155	256
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2008 import requirement	36	160	2	198¹
Anticipated commercial imports	35	150	-	185
of which: received or contracted	-	50	-	50
Food aid needs	1	10	2	13
Current aid position
Food aid pledges	-	-	-	-
of which: delivered	-	-	-	-
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated per caput consumption (kg/year)	5	14	94	113

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	-	130	113	114
2008 import requirement compared to average	69	111	100	100
Cereal share of total calorie intake				36

Additional information
Major foodcrops	roots; tubers; maize
Lean season	April-June
Population (000s)	7 542
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	540
¹Includes 1 000 tonnes of wheat and 100 000 tonnes of rice for re-export.


Botswana

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2007/08 MARKETING YEAR (April/March)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	1	-	49	50
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	1	-	33	34
Previous year imports	93	36	152	282
Previous five years average imports	80	21	182	283
2007/08 Domestic Availability	-	-	37	37
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	-	34	34
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	-	34	34
Possible stock drawdown	-	-	3	3
2007/08 Utilization	96	36	226	359
Food use	86	36	221	343
Non-food use	-	-	6	6
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	10	-	-	10
2007/08 Import Requirement	96	36	189	321
Anticipated commercial imports	96	36	189	321
of which: received or contracted	105	21	136	261
Food aid needs	-	-	-	-
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	-	-	-
of which: delivered	-	-	-	-
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	47	20	119	186

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	7	-	104	101
2007/08 Import requirement compared to average	120	171	104	114
Cereal share of total calorie intake				51

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	sorghum; pulses; vegetables
Lean season	January-March
Population (000s)	1 850
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	5 900


Burkina Faso

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2007/08 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	114	3 567	3 681
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	93	3 290	3 383
Previous year imports	61	184	29	274
Previous five years average imports	57	214	14	285
2007/08 Domestic Availability	-	81	3 638	3 719
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	123	3 613	3 736
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	81	3 613	3 694
Possible stock drawdown	-	-	25	25
2007/08 Utilization	47	266	3 686	3 998
Food use	46	256	2 721	3 022
Non-food use	1	10	590	601
Exports or re-exports	-	-	375	375
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2007/08 Import Requirement	47	184	48	279
Anticipated commercial imports	46	175	17	238
of which: received or contracted	5	-	-	5
Food aid needs	1	9	31	41
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	3	4	7
of which: delivered	-	3	3	6
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	1	1
of which: for local use	-	-	1	1
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	3	17	181	201

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	-	132	110	110
2007/08 Import requirement compared to average	82	86	344	98
Cereal share of total calorie intake				75

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	millet; sorghum; pulses; maize
Lean season	July-September
Population (000s)	15 077
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	460


Burundi

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	8	71	212	290
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	8	67	210	285
Previous year imports	31	8	87	126
Previous five years average imports	27	5	74	106
2008 Domestic Availability	8	48	216	272
2008 Production (incl. paddy rice)	8	72	216	296
2008 Production (incl. milled rice)	8	48	216	272
Possible stock drawdown	-	-	-	-
2008 Utilization	41	58	312	411
Food use	39	50	280	369
Non-food use	2	8	32	42
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2008 Import Requirement	33	10	96	139
Anticipated commercial imports	33	6	41	80
of which: received or contracted	-	-	-	-
Food aid needs	-	4	55	59
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	-	3	3
of which: delivered	-	-	3	3
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	2	2
of which: for local use	-	-	2	2
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	5	6	34	44

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2008 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	103	107	103	104
2008 Import requirement compared to average	122	200	130	131
Cereal share of total calorie intake				16

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	pulses; plantains; roots; tubers; maize; sorghum
Lean season	November-December
Population (000s)	8 296
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	100


Cameroon

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	120	1 825	1 945
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	93	1 487	1 580
Previous year imports	300	360	20	680¹
Previous five years average imports	282	334	22	638
2008 Domestic Availability	-	90	1 825	1 915
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	110	1 725	1 835
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	75	1 725	1 800
Possible stock drawdown	-	15	100	115
2008 Utilization	300	450	1 845	2 595
Food use	246	395	1 286	1 927
Non-food use	4	5	524	533
Exports or re-exports	50	50	35	135
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2008 Import Requirement	300	360	20	680¹
Anticipated commercial imports	300	360	20	680
of which: received or contracted	12	39	-	51
Food aid needs	-	1	-	1
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	1	-	1
of which: delivered	-	1	-	1
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	13	21	69	104

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	-	118	116	116
2008 Import requirement compared to average	106	108	91	107
Cereal share of total calorie intake				43

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	roots; tubers; coarse grains; fruit
Lean season	June-August
Population (000s)	18 622
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	1 080
¹Includes 50 000 tonnes of wheat for re-export.


Cape Verde

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2007/08 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	-	6	6
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	-	8	8
Previous year imports	24	33	17	74
Previous five years average imports	21	30	29	80
2007/08 Domestic Availability	-	10	5	15
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	-	4	4
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	-	4	4
Possible stock drawdown	-	10	-	10
2007/08 Utilization	23	30	36	88
Food use	22	30	35	87
Non-food use	-	-	1	1
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	1	-	-	1
2007/08 Import Requirement	23	20	31	74
Anticipated commercial imports	20	16	30	66
of which: received or contracted	3	-	-	3
Food aid needs	3	4	1	8
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	3	-	3
of which: delivered	-	-	-	-
Donor-financed purchases	-	0.4	-	0.4
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	43	59	68	169

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	-	-	55	55
2007/08 Import requirement compared to average	108	67	107	92
Cereal share of total calorie intake				50

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	maize; rice; pulses
Lean season	n.a since 90% of requirements covered by imports
Population (000s)	514
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	2 130


Central African Republic

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	30	179	209
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	29	172	201
Previous year imports	40	3	19	62
Previous five years average imports	41	3	11	55
2008 Domestic Availability	-	19	184	203
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	30	179	209
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	19	179	198
Possible stock drawdown	-	-	5	5
2008 Utilization	37	22	188	247
Food use	37	22	164	223
Non-food use	-	-	23	23
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2008 Import Requirement	37	3	4	44
Anticipated commercial imports	32	1	2	35
of which: received or contracted	-	-	-	-
Food aid needs	6	2	2	9
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	6	2	1	9
of which: delivered	-	-	1	1
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	9	5	39	54

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	-	103	104	104
2008 Import requirement compared to average	90	100	32	79
Cereal share of total calorie intake				22

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	roots; tubers; tree nuts; coarse grains; fruit
Lean season	May-July
Population (000s)	4 177
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	360


Chad

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2007/08 MARKETING YEAR (November/October)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	2	112	1 877	1 991
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	2	123	1 453	1 578
Previous year imports	84	15	39	138
Previous five years average imports	72	15	32	119
2007/08 Domestic Availability	9	100	1 931	2 039
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	4	146	1 931	2 080
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	4	100	1 931	2 034
Possible stock drawdown	5	-	-	5
2007/08 Utilization	74	120	1 972	2 165
Food use	73	95	1 170	1 338
Non-food use	1	17	445	463
Exports or re-exports	-	-	327	327
Possible stock build up	-	7	30	37
2007/08 Import Requirement	65	20	41	126
Anticipated commercial imports	40	15	3	58
of which: received or contracted	4	-	-	4
Food aid needs	25	5	38	68
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	10	-	38	48
of which: delivered	10	-	10	20
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	7	10	117	134

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	180	118	133	132
2007/08 Import requirement compared to average	90	133	129	106
Cereal share of total calorie intake				54

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	millet; sorghum; roots; tubers; tree nuts
Lean season	August-September
Population (000s)	9 962
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	480


Comoros

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	17	4	21
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	17	4	21
Previous year imports	8	34	-	42
Previous five years average imports	7	34	-	41
2008 Domestic Availability	1	12	4	17
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	17	4	21
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	11	4	15
Possible stock drawdown	1	1	-	2
2008 Utilization	8	46	4	58
Food use	8	45	2	55
Non-food use	-	1	2	3
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2008 Import Requirement	7	34	-	41
Anticipated commercial imports	7	34	-	41
of which: received or contracted	-	25	-	25
Food aid needs	-	-	-	-
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	-	-	-
of which: delivered	-	-	-	-
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	-	-
of which: for local use	-	-	-	-
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	9	53	2	64

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	-	100	100	100
2008 Import requirement compared to average	100	100	-	100
Cereal share of total calorie intake				44

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	rice; roots; tubers; bananas; coconuts
Lean season	January-December
Population (000s)	858
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	660


Congo, Democratic Republic of

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	9	316	1 254	1 578
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	9	315	1 250	1 574
Previous year imports	385	142	100	627
Previous five years average imports	324	113	82	519
2008 Domestic Availability	9	210	1 254	1 473
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	9	315	1 254	1 578
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	9	210	1 254	1 473
Possible stock drawdown	-	-	-	-
2008 Utilization	424	360	1 364	2 148
Food use	416	337	1 087	1 840
Non-food use	8	23	277	308
Exports or re-exports	-	-	-	-
Possible stock build up	-	-	-	-
2008 Import Requirement	415	150	110	675
Anticipated commercial imports	400	149	60	609
of which: received or contracted	-	1.4	2.1	3.5
Food aid needs	15	1	50	66
Current Aid Position
Food aid pledges	-	-	30	30
of which: delivered	-	-	14	14
Donor-financed purchases	-	-	1	1
of which: for local use	-	-	1	1
for export	-	-	-	-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)	7	6	18	30

Cereal supply and utilization indices		percentage
2007 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice)	100	100	100	100
2008 Import requirement compared to average	128	133	134	130
Cereal share of total calorie intake				18

Additional Information
Major foodcrops	roots; tubers; coarse grains; fruit
Lean season	north: October; south: November-December
Population (000s)	61 530
GNI per capita in 2006 (US$)	130


Congo, Republic of

CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2008 MARKETING YEAR (January/December)
	Wheat	Rice	Coarse Grains	Total Cereals
Cereal supply and utilization data		thousand tonnes
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice)	-	1	7	8
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice)	-	1	7	8
Previous year imports	230	82	5	317
Previous five years average imports	220	74	5	299
2008 Domestic Availability	5	4	7	16
2007 Production (incl. paddy rice)	-	1	7	8
2007 Production (incl. milled rice)	-	1	7

Angola

Benin

Botswana

Burkina Faso

Burundi

Cameroon

Cape Verde

Central African Republic

Chad

Comoros

Congo, Democratic Republic of

Congo, Republic of