Reference Date: 24-June-2025

Abundant rainfall amounts in late spring improved prospects for 2025 cereal production

Harvesting of the 2025 winter cereals started in June 2025 and it is expected to be completed by July for barley and by mid-August for wheat. The season started with dry weather conditions between November 2024 and February 2025, negatively affecting crops in the northwest region. However, abundant rainfall amounts in April and May, particularly in key producing provinces of Constantine, Guelma, Skikda and Oum El Bouaghi, improved soil moisture, ensuring adequate water availability for crops during crucial flowering and grain-filling stages. According to FAO remote sensing Vegetation Health Index ( VHI ), vegetation conditions as of May 2025 are above average in most producing areas in the northeast region, inferring likely favourable crop conditions. The 2025 cereal production is forecast at about 4 million tonnes, around 12 percent above the average. To support cereal harvest operations and facilitate the delivery of grains to collection sites, the government increased the number of local grain storage facilities and deployed additional machinery, including trucks and tractors.

Above-average cereal import requirements estimated in 2024/25

Cereal import requirements for the marketing year 2024/25 (July/June) are estimated at around 14 million tonnes, about 8 percent above average, mirroring high wheat imports, particularly from the Russian Federation. Maize imports are estimated at near-average of 4.4 million tonnes.

Food price inflation increased moderately in 2025

Annual food inflation rate stood at about 4 percent in April 2025, largely driven by increases of price of meat, potato and fresh fish which more than offset declines of prices of other food items, including eggs and vegetables.

Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of FAO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

This brief was prepared using the following data/tools:
FAO/GIEWS Country Cereal Balance Sheet (CCBS) https://www.fao.org/giews/data-tools/en/ .

FAO/GIEWS Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Tool https://fpma.fao.org/ .

FAO/GIEWS Earth Observation for Crop Monitoring https://www.fao.org/giews/earthobservation/ .

Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) https://www.ipcinfo.org/ .