Reference Date: 30-October-2025

Paddy production anticipated at record high in 2025

Harvesting of the 2025 second paddy crop, which accounts for slightly less than half of the annual production, is ongoing under favourable dry weather conditions. Production is anticipated at an above-average level, reflecting above-average sowings and record-high yields. The good yields were driven by the sufficient availability of irrigation water due to above to above-average precipitation between April and July. The government’s free distribution of fertilizers also supported high levels of yields.

An above-average production is also estimated for the first paddy crop due to large plantings, which follows the upward trend that started in 2023 on account of elevated demand for exports. Yields are estimated at an above-average level, supported by the government’s provision of extension services, development of high-yielding seed varieties, improvement in infrastructures such as drainage system, dams and roads from fields to markets. Amid farmers’ concerns about the low profitability of paddy crops, the government provided farmers with the subsidy of USD 300 for every bag of rice sold to millers. The 2025 aggregate paddy production is anticipated at a record level of 1.14 million tonnes.

Rice exports forecast at near-average level in 2025

Rice is the country’s most important exportable agricultural commodity and, on average, about half of the annual production is exported. In the 2025 marketing year (January/December), rice exports are forecast at a near-average level, similar to 2024.

Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of FAO concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

This brief was prepared using the following data/tools:
FAO/GIEWS Country Cereal Balance Sheet (CCBS) https://www.fao.org/giews/data-tools/en/ .

FAO/GIEWS Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Tool https://fpma.fao.org/ .

FAO/GIEWS Earth Observation for Crop Monitoring https://www.fao.org/giews/earthobservation/ .

Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) https://www.ipcinfo.org/ .