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Reference Date: 03-November-2015


  1. Planting of 2016A crops underway, with above-average rains forecast

  2. Aggregate production in 2015 is estimated to have decreased by 5 percent compared to 2014

  3. Food security stressed due to reduced 2015B season harvest, higher food prices, unrest and civil insecurity

Good conditions for 2016A season crops

Planting of the 2016A secondary cereal crops was completed in October, with the bulk of the crop to be harvested at the start of next year. Rains have generally been above-average since late September, benefiting early crop establishment. Corresponding to the influence of the prevailing El Niño episode, weather forecasts indicate a higher probability of average to above-average rains until January and this is anticipated to result in an average output of the 2016A season. However, in areas affected by civil insecurity and displacements following the elections, crop production is expected to be adversely affected.

The main 2015B season crops were harvested by July, and the season’s output was estimated at a reduced level due to the impact of civil insecurity. Total production for 2015 is put at 251 000 tonnes, 5 percent lower than the previous year.

Stressed food security conditions due to unrest and civil insecurity

Food security conditions remained stressed in the provinces most affected by the ongoing civil unrest, including in parts of Kirundo, Muyinga and Makamba, as well as rural areas near Bujumbura. The reduced crop production from the 2015B season; lower labour opportunities and disruptions in trade flows together with higher food prices have exacerbated the situation. In response, the WFP is providing humanitarian assistance to 100 000 people affected by the post-electoral violence, in addition to the food insecure population already targeted by the protracted relief and recovery operation.

Relevant links:
 Cereal Supply/Demand Balance Sheet
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 2000, 1999, 1998, 1998, 1997, 1997, 1996
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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