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Reference Date: 05-May-2015

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Wheat production in 2015 is forecast to fall

  2. Wheat exports in 2014/15 expected to decrease

  3. Export prices of wheat declined in April but still higher than a year earlier

Wheat production in 2015 forecast below last year’s level

Kazakhstan’s planting of the 2015 spring crops, mainly wheat, is currently ongoing under overall favourable weather conditions. Wheat output, which accounts for over 80 percent of annual cereal production, is currently forecast by FAO at 12.5 million tonnes, 4 percent down from last year’s level. The drop is mainly due to a contraction in the area planted following a shift to alternative crops, including oilseeds. Productions of barley and maize are anticipated to remain close to the 2014 good performances. The 2015 total cereal output is forecast at 16.1 million tonnes, slightly below last year’s level.

Wheat production in 2014 totalled around 13 million tonnes, 6.8 percent down from the 2013 output, as a result of a reduction of the planted area, coupled with lower yields following adverse weather conditions.

Wheat exports in 2014/15 are forecast to decrease from last year’s near-average level

Kazakhstan is an important exporter of cereals (mainly wheat) and plays an central role in the subregion food security. The bulk of cereals are traditionally exported to CIS countries (namely Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) and to Afghanistan. Exports of wheat in the 2014/15 marketing year (July /June) are forecast at 6 million tonnes, some 18 percent below last year’s near-average level, mainly reflecting the lower output in 2014.

Export prices of wheat declined in April but still higher than a year earlier

Kazakhstan’s wheat export quotations declined in April for the second consecutive month, reflecting lower international prices, a slow pace of shipments and overall favourable prospects for the 2015 wheat crops in the country. Nonetheless, export prices were 10 percent higher than in April last year, due to the reduced output and poorer quality of the 2014 wheat crop, along with increased procurement prices set by the Government in December 2014.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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