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Reference Date: 30-December-2015

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal production in 2015 estimated at a bumper level

  2. Cereal imports at record levels in 2015

  3. Cereal prices stable in November, potato prices increase sharply

Cereal production in 2015 estimated at a bumper level

Cereal production in 2015 is provisionally estimated at 5.2 million tonnes, a 6 percent increase from last year’s reduced level and above the country’s five‑year average. The increase is mostly attributed to a strong recovery in rice production, as a result of good weather conditions and improved supplies of water for irrigation during the season, which allowed for an increase in sowings and higher yields. The 2015 maize output, mostly irrigated, is also estimated at good levels due to increased yields.

Sowing of the 2016 crops has recently begun amid some concerns about current El Niño conditions and the possible impact on plantings and crop development during the season. However, according to remote sensing data, despite some evidence of abnormal dry weather in the southwest of the country, precipitations have so far remained at average to above-average levels in most of the main producing regions of the country.

Cereal imports at record levels in 2015

Cereal imports in the 2015 marketing year (January/December) are forecast to increase by almost 5 percent and reach a record. This mainly follows higher imports of maize, due to a strong demand from the feed industry.

Cereal prices stable in November, potato prices increase sharply

Wheat and wheat flour prices remained relatively stable in November and generally below their levels a year earlier, reflecting adequate availabilities from this year’s harvest and imports. Prices of yellow maize also remained unchanged in November and below their levels a year earlier.

Prices of potatoes rose sharply in November. Seasonal increases were exacerbated by an expected reduction in plantings as a result of adverse weather conditions, associated with the El Niño phenomenon.











Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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