GIEWS Country Briefs

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Reference Date: 11-February-2014

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. The 2014 “A season” harvest forecast at average levels despite localized production shortfalls

  2. Food prices declining as newly harvested crops increase supplies

  3. Minimal levels of food insecurity, including in areas affected by production shortfalls

An average output expected from the 2014 “A season” cropping; some localized production shortfalls observed

Harvesting of the 2014 “A season” (September‑February) crops is currently underway. Production is expected at average levels, despite localized production shortfalls. In the Eastern Semi‑Arid Agro‑Pastoral zone, crops had to be replanted due to poor quality seeds, causing a delay in harvests and a decline in production levels. In addition, harvests are expected to be below average in parts of the Bugesera district in the Eastern Province and in some areas of the West Province, due to the effects of atypical dryness in October and November and an above‑average prevalence of maize stalk borers and aphids.

Food prices declining as newly harvested crops increase supplies

Prices of beans, the main staple crop, after having peaked in October/November 2013, declined by 28 percent in December 2013 and January 2014 in Kigali’s wholesale market as the newly-harvested crops increased supplies. Currently, prices are at similar levels of twelve months earlier. Prices of maize decreased by 8 percent in January and currently they are below the levels of the same month of the previous year.

Minimal levels of food insecurity, including in areas affected by production shortfalls

Most households will face minimal levels (IPC phase 1) of acute malnutrition until June 2014, when “B season” crops will be harvested. In the areas that were affected by production shortfalls, the reduction in the level of availabilities will not to be sufficient to cause a significant deterioration of the food security situation.







Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Cereal Supply/Demand Balance Sheet
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Main Food-related Policy Measures (From 1 Jan 2008 to 11 Oct 2011)
 Interpolated Estimated Dekadal Rainfall
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 1998, 1997, 1996, 1996, 1995
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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