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Reference Date: 4-August-2016

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Cereal production in 2016 estimated down from last year’s high level

  2. Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year expected lower than in previous year

  3. Wheat prices stable in July, maize prices well above year‑earlier levels

Cereal production in 2016 estimated down from last year’s high level

Cereal production in 2016 is estimated at 3.7 million tonnes, a decline of 2.5 percent from last year’s high level but still above the five‑year average. The decline mainly reflects a contraction in maize production, which is estimated 24 percent below last year’s level, mainly reflecting lower plantings due to prevailing low prices at the beginning of the season and increased production costs. Planting delays due to adverse weather conditions in key‑growing areas also contributed to the decline. By contrast, wheat production has been estimated at 1.7 million tonnes, its highest level in more than a decade. The increase mainly reflects higher sowings in response to high local demand.

Cereal imports in 2016/17 marketing year expected lower than in previous year

Cereal imports for the 2016/17 marketing year (April/March) are forecast to decline moderately to 3.1 million tonnes. The reduction mainly reflects expected lower wheat imports following this year’s bumper crop. By contrast, maize imports are forecast well above the five‑year average level reflecting high local demand and this year’s reduced crop.

Wheat prices stable in July, maize prices well above year‑earlier levels

Wheat prices, were unchanged in July and remain well below year‑earlier levels reflecting ample availabilities from this year’s bumper crop.

Prices of yellow maize in July were unchanged from the previous month but were sharply above their level a year ago reflecting this year’s reduced availabilities.

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Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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