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Country Briefs


Reference Date: 31-October-2017


  1. Despite some early pest infestations, maize production in 2017 anticipated to strongly recover

  2. Cereal imports in 2017/18 marketing year anticipated to decline sharply

  3. Maize prices in June remained relatively unchanged

Cereal output anticipated to recover in 2017, mainly due to good maize outputs

FAO anticipates that 2017 cereal output will reach 2.6 million tonnes, about 7 percent above last year’s reduced output. Despite excess precipitations at the beginning of the summer cropping season and the possibility of a second year of significant yield reductions due to fungal and pest infestations, output was only 7 percent below from last year same season. Above-average plantings and favourable weather conditions for the 2017 winter maize crop, whose harvest ends in November, are anticipated to more than compensate for these losses. Official forecasts point to an increase in winter maize output of 11 percent, leading to an aggregate annual maize output for 2017 forecast at 1.4 million tonnes, 17 percent above last year and about average. By contrast, the 2017 rice crop is anticipated down 3 percent from last year. This mainly reflects a reduction in planted area due to lower producer prices, coupled with excess rains and continued pest infestations, which affected yields of the first (winter) crop harvest.

Cereal imports in 2017/18 marketing year anticipated to decline sharply

Cereal import requirements in the 2017/18 marketing year (July/June) are forecast at 784 000 tonnes, over 30 percent less than the previous year, mainly reflecting the anticipated strong recovery in 2017 maize output.

Maize prices in September increased moderately

Yellow maize prices increased by less than 2 percent in September after the completion of the main season harvest in August and in anticipation of the winter crop harvest in November. Prices remained moderately above last year’s levels.

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