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Reference Date: 07-March-2014

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  1. Estimates for the 2013 maize and bean crops indicate an increase in production

  2. Cereal imports forecast to remain close to last year’s level

  3. Prices of maize and beans remain low, despite a seasonal increase in January in maize prices

Estimates for the 2013 maize and bean crops indicate an increase in production

The third maize season “de apante” is well advanced particularly in the main producing department of Peten in the north. Similar to the first and second seasons, production is considered to be good due to favourable weather conditions during all of the cropping seasons. Preliminary official estimates indicate an aggregate 2013 maize production of 1.7 million tonnes, up 2 percent from last year’s good harvest and record. The increase in production reflects both higher yields and plantings.

The harvest of the third season bean crop - “de apante” - has begun. Following adequate weather conditions during the season, the outlook is positive. The previous 2013/14 cropping seasons (“primera” and “postrera”) benefited also from favourable weather. Preliminary official estimates put the aggregate 2013 bean crop at 225 000 tonnes, up 3 percent from last year’s good harvest and almost 9 percent from the average. The increase in production is mainly due to yield gains as area planted remained fairly close to the previous year’s level.

Cereal imports to firm up in 2013/14

Cereal imports for the 2013/14 marketing year (July/June) are tentatively forecast to increase from the previous year by about 3 percent. This mainly reflects the projected 5 percent growth in maize imports, which are expected to reach 704 000 tonnes, to satisfy the sustained demand from the animal feed industry. Wheat imports are anticipated to remain around last year’s levels.

Prices of maize and beans remain low

Wholesale prices of white maize stabilized in February as the harvest from the third “de apante” season from the main producing department of Peten started to reach the market. Prices remained almost 8 percent below a year earlier, reflecting the ample supplies in the market.

Reflecting this year’s good black bean harvest prices that had been in a declining in the past months strengthened by 3 percent in February. An anticipated reduction in the subregional bean output provided price support to local markets.









Relevant links:
From GIEWS:
 As of Oct 2014, included in the list of "Countries Requiring External Assistance for Food"
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Maps
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
 Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission (CFSAM) Reports & Special Alerts: 2010
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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