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Reference Date: 06-October-2015


  1. Plantings delayed due to insufficient rains at beginning of cropping season

  2. Prices of millet and sorghum remained mostly stable in recent months

  3. Continued assistance is required to improve access to food and protect livelihoods of food-insecure and vulnerable people, including refugees and returnees

Below-average cereal production expected this year due to unfavourable rainfall

Harvesting of the 2015 main staple crops began in September in the southern part of the country. Most areas experienced a late start of the raining season, which may have affected potential yields. The first rains were registered in the third dekad of April in the Sudanian zone (South) and the second dekad of May in the Sahelian zone. These rains were followed by long dry spells that led to significant rainfall deficit in several parts of the country. Cumulative rainfall as of late August was below average in most meteorological stations, particularly in the Sudanian zone. According to a preliminary forecast released by national agricultural statistics, a below-average cereal harvest is anticipated this year.

An above-average crop was gathered in 2014. Last year’s aggregate cereal production was estimated at about 2.7 million tonnes, 5 percent above the previous year’s output and 12 percent above average.

Cereal prices mostly stable in recent months

Coarse grain prices have stabilized in recent months in most parts of the country, notably in N’Djamena, driven by adequate supplies, following last year’s adequate harvest. Although sorghum prices seasonally increased in August (the peak of the lean season), coarse grain prices were still generally below their year-earlier levels, with the exception of sorghum prices in Moundou and Sahr located in the Sudanian zone.

Food security affected by civil insecurity

Chad hosts a large number of refugees, due to the continuing civil conflict in the neighbouring countries: Central African Republic, Libya, Nigeria and the Sudan. The influx of refugees increased dramatically over the past few months following the deterioration of the security situation in Nigeria. According to OCHA, about 15 000 Nigerians fled to Chad in recent months, while more than 41 000 people have been internally displaced between July and August 2015 in the Lac Region. In addition, as of September 2015 over 84 000 refugees from the Central African Republic and more than 295 000 refugees from the Sudan are estimated to reside in Chad. Overall, over 395 000 refugees are estimated to be currently living in Chad, while about 240 000 Chadians have returned to their country. Chad also has more than 567 000 Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs). As a result of these various factors, as of August 2015 over 660 000 people were estimated to be in need of food assistance according to the last “Cadre Harmonisé” analysis.

Relevant links:
 As of Jul 2015, included in the list of "Countries Requiring External Assistance for Food"
 Cereal Supply/Demand Balance Sheet
 Food Price Data and Analysis Tool
 Earth Observation Indicators
 Seasonal Indicators
 Vegetation Indicators
 Precipitation Indicators
 Graphs & Data
 NDVI & Precipitation
From FAO:
 FAO Country Profiles

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